Obnoxious Optimism Can Only Take the Tories So Far

Boris Johnson is perhaps the most optimistic Prime Minister in British history. Whilst four million children live in relative poverty in the United Kingdom, its new commander-in-chief proudly and repeatedly declares, in a statement that could be mistaken for a prop-comedy routine, that we are leaving the European Union: “Do or Die.”

While some of the best political thinkers and economists of the last 30 years are advising against a No-Deal Brexit, the Johnson cabinet continues to refuse to rule it out. The Home Secretary Priti Patel has even announced that, in the event of a No-Deal Brexit, Freedom of Movement(FoM) for EU Nationals will end overnight.

The PM and Home Sec

The government appears to want to continue to play both camps. They have insisted to those who are strenuously opposed to No-Deal that they are doing some bizarre form of reverse psychology, where they will hoodwink the EU into thinking they want a No-Deal Brexit (by doing things like preparing to end FoM) so they have no choice but to give them a better deal.

This is how they have wiggled off the hook when confronted by the concerns of the British public regarding No-Deal.

Immigration fuelled the Brexit debate and was one of the main focuses of the Vote Leave campaign, headed up by Chief Strategist to the government Dominic Cummings. So, when a Home Secretary announces a policy decision that is essentially telling Leave voters that No Deal will immediately do something in which they, statistically speaking, support it reinforces the message that a No Deal Brexit is the end game.

The consensus seems to be that it is impossible to predict just how bad it could look, but the main things we can be advised to expect are; a supermarket price hike for European products and the possibility that the EU may no longer let us import certain products there, port-delays due to the extra passport checks that will be required when travelling to [and from] France and the possibility of a hard border with Ireland.

You may be thinking that our government should be advising against such a colossal waste of the public’s time and money, a lot of people in the Conservative part have. They were promptly sacked and insulted-once-gone.

The 2019 spin war is a propaganda machine, the PM’s fellow Telegraph columnists all flocked to Twitter to defend him during the leadership election. Willing and ready to scream: “Project Fear” into the abyss for their colleague.

On the day of Boris’ election Paul Staines, founder of “anti-establishment” blog Guido Fawkes, took to the Guido Twitter to celebrate the PM.

Boris has successfully won over the Conservative membership and has found himself Prime Minister, this is distinctly different from an eventuality where he was elected with a majority in the House of Commons, while the case can be made that the Tories were given the mandate required to leave the EU in 2017 (although May didn’t reach a majority), there is no mandate for leaving without a deal because the Conservative party membership cannot give you a mandate on behalf of the public.

While there are those amongst us who may like the idea of cultural sovereignty from the EU, it’s less likely that we prioritise this over keeping supermarkets prices low or a family member keeping their job. The Conservative membership polls suggest that they are for Brexit, do or die. But 17.4m people voted to Leave, Boris was elected as Prime Minister by the parties 160,000 strong membership.

It’s also worth noting that the Conservative party members are incredibly unrepresentative of the British public. They are 97% white, more than 50% are over 55, 4/10 of them earn more than £30,000 per-annum and 1/20 of them earn over £100,000.

Leader of the Brexit Party Nigel Farage can afford to hop the channel on a private plane if the ports are too busy, Leave.EU founder Aaron Banks is worth more than £200m so he can afford the price hikes, Wetherspoons boss Tim Martin doesn’t care about increased export costs for small businesses and the Prime Minister is unlikely to be affected by school closures, his brother, he and all of his children are privately educated.

Working-class Britons should be asking themselves just who is going to make the sacrifices that the government are so quick to tell us are worthwhile. They can afford to be optimistic.

The government need a mandate for what they are preparing for, and they have made it abundantly clear that they don’t plan to ask for one.

Labour needs to force a general election based off of this very point, and time is of the essence.

While Labour and the Liberal Democrats are blaming each other and politicking over who will lead the rebellion, The Telegraph and Guido Fawkes, the PM’s ex-employer and biggest fan respectively, are all systems go, churning out the message that No-Deal is an acceptable outcome, and that any other possible outcome is a breach of trust to the public.

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